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1.
BMC Geriatr ; 24(1): 225, 2024 Mar 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38439007

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The aim of present study was to evaluate the combined effect of hypertension and activities of daily living (ADL)/instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) with the risk of CVD, stroke and cardiac events. METHODS: A total of 14,083 participants aged 45 years or older from the China Health and Retirement longitudinal study were included in current study. Participants were divided into 4 groups according to hypertension and ADL/IADL status. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to explore the associations between hypertension, ADL/IADL and new-onset CVD, stroke and cardiac events. RESULTS: During the 7-year follow-up, a total of 2,324 respondents experienced CVD (including 783 stroke and 1,740 cardiac events). Individuals with limitations in ADL alone, or with hypertension alone, or with both limitations in ADL and hypertension were associated with increased risk of CVD, with the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 1.17(1.00-1.35), 1.36(1.24-1.49) and 1.44(1.23-1.68), respectively. Those with limitations in ADL and hypertension also had higher risk of stroke (hazard ratios = 1.64; 1.26-2.14) and cardiac events (hazard ratios = 1.37; 1.14-1.64). Similarly, individuals with both limitations in IADL and hypertension were associated with increased risk of CVD (hazard ratios = 1.34; 1.15-1.57), stroke (hazard ratios = 1.50; 1.17-1.95) and cardiac events (hazard ratios = 1.27; 1.06-1.53). CONCLUSION: Hypertension and limitations in ADL/IADL jointly increased the risk of CVD, stroke and cardiac events.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Hipertensión , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Actividades Cotidianas , Estudios Longitudinales , Hipertensión/diagnóstico , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología
2.
Clin Nutr ; 43(3): 796-802, 2024 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38350287

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have demonstrated that sarcopenia was associated with a high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Nevertheless, little is known about the associations between sarcopenic obesity/possibly sarcopenic obesity and the risk of CVD among senior and middle-aged adults. METHODS: Utilizing the nationally representative data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), a sum of 7703 individuals aged at least 45 years were divided into four groups. The effects of sarcopenic obesity and possibly sarcopenic obesity on CVD were calculated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Non-sarcopenic participants with optimal body mass index (BMI) or waist circumference (WC) served as a control group. RESULTS: Sarcopenic obesity were related to increased risks of CVD (HR = 1.39; 95% CI = 1.16-1.67), heart disease (HR = 1.36; 95% CI = 1.10-1.67) and stroke (HR = 1.40; 95% CI = 1.02-1.92) compared with the optimal reference group. Similarly, the risk of CVD, heart disease and stroke increased by 0.34, 0.28 and 0.39 times in obese people with possible sarcopenia compared to the control group. Sensitivity analysis identified similar results to those described above. Patients with sarcopenia and a BMI ≥28.0 kg/m2 had a 1.47- and 1.48-fold risk of developing CVD and heart disease than controls. CONCLUSION: Sarcopenic obesity and possibly sarcopenic obesity are positively associated with the development of CVD. The middle-aged and elderly population should prevent obesity and maintain muscle mass through some interventions such as weight control and moderate exercise, which may reduce the CVD risk.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Cardiopatías , Sarcopenia , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Persona de Mediana Edad , Humanos , Anciano , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Sarcopenia/complicaciones , Sarcopenia/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Longitudinales , Jubilación , China/epidemiología , Obesidad/complicaciones , Obesidad/epidemiología
3.
Br J Nutr ; 131(5): 821-828, 2024 Mar 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37839856

RESUMEN

The association between sarcopenia and kidney function remains poorly investigated. We aimed to evaluate the associations between sarcopenia status and kidney function (rapid kidney function decline and chronic kidney disease (CKD)) in middle-aged and older Chinese population. A total of 9375 participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study 2011 were included in the cross-sectional analyses. A total of 5864 participants with eGFRcr-cys ≥ 60 ml/min per 1·73 m2 at baseline were included in the longitudinal analyses and were followed up in 2015. Sarcopenia status was defined according to the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia 2019 criteria. In the cross-sectional analyses, possible sarcopenia and sarcopenia were significantly associated with an increased risk of CKD. During the 4 years of follow-up, 359 (6·12 %) participants experienced rapid decline in kidney function and 126 (2·15 %) participants developed CKD. After multivariable adjustment of baseline eGFRcr-cys level and other risk factors, possible sarcopenia (OR, 1·33; 95 % CI 1·01, 2·12) and sarcopenia (OR, 1·49; 95 % CI 1·05, 2·12) were associated with an increased risk of primary outcome (composite of rapid decline in kidney function (annualised decline in eGFRcr-cys ≥ 5 ml/min per 1·73 m2) and progression to CKD (eGFRcr-cys < 60 ml/min per 1·73 m2). Individuals with low muscle mass or low muscle strength alone also had an increased risk of rapid decline in kidney function and progression to CKD.


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Sarcopenia , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Humanos , Anciano , Sarcopenia/epidemiología , Tasa de Filtración Glomerular/fisiología , Estudios Longitudinales , Estudios Transversales , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiología , Riñón
4.
J Psychosom Res ; 174: 111480, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37672834

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Previous studies had reported a significant association between depressive symptoms and inflammation. The aim of present study was to evaluate the combined effect of depressive symptoms and inflammation level on the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS: A total of 9647 participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were included. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to evaluate the associations between depressive symptoms, inflammation level and new-onset CVD, stroke and cardiac events. RESULTS: There were 1731 respondents experienced CVD (including 560 stroke and 1306 cardiac events) during the follow-up period. Compared to individuals without depressive symptoms and low hsCRP level, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 1.23(1.09-1.38), 1.41(1.21-1.63) and 1.61(1.40-1.87) for those with high hsCRP level alone, with depressive symptoms alone, with both depressive symptoms and high hsCRP, respectively. There were additive and multiplicative effect of depressive symptoms and inflammation on the risk of CVD, stroke and cardiac events (as categorical variables). Furthermore, we found significant additive and multiplicative interactions of depressive symptoms and inflammation with CVD (as continuous variables). CONCLUSION: Our findings indicated that there was a multiplicative effect of depressive symptoms and inflammation on the risk of CVD. Larger-sample prospective cohort studies are still required to test the potential application of combination of depressive symptoms and inflammation as a screening method to identify individuals at risk of CVD.

5.
J Psychosom Res ; 174: 111494, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37708593

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Nowadays, the joint effects of depressive symptoms and sleep duration on the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) are still unclear. We aimed to prospectively assess the combined effect of depressive symptoms and sleep duration on the incidence of CKD in middle-aged and elderly Chinese population. METHODS: A total of 10,953 participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) were included. Depressive symptoms were measured using the 10-item Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression scale (CESD-10). Sleep duration was evaluated by self-reported. CKD events were based on self-reported physicians' diagnosis or personal estimate glomerular filtration rate level (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2). Cox regression models were established to analyze the correlation between depressive symptoms, sleep duration and the risk of CKD. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up time was 6.76 ± 0.98 years, 851 (7.8%) participants had reported CKD events during the follow-up. Elevated depressive symptoms (HR = 1.65, 95% CI = 1.43-1.90) and short sleep duration (HR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.27-1.72) were independently associated with an increased CKD risk after adjusting for potential confounding factors. Participants with short sleep duration (< 6 h)/elevated depressive symptoms (HR = 2.24, 95% CI = 1.89-2.65) were associated with the highest risk of CKD than those with normal sleep duration/low depressive symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated depressive symptoms and short sleep duration were independent risk factors for CKD. There was a combined effect between depressive symptoms and sleep duration in increasing the risk of CKD.

6.
J Am Med Dir Assoc ; 24(11): 1669-1676.e2, 2023 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37516438

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between changes in depressive symptoms and sarcopenia by repeated measures of depressive symptoms at a follow-up visit every 2 years. DESIGN: Cross-sectional design and longitudinal design. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: We conducted a cross-sectional and longitudinal study using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, which is a representative national survey. A total of 12,287 participants were included in Wave 1 (2011-2012) for the cross-sectional analysis, followed by a total of 5285 participants in Wave 2 (2013-2014) and Wave 3 (2015-2016) for the longitudinal analysis based on the cross-sectional analysis. METHODS: Depressive symptoms were measured by the 10-item Center for the Epidemiological Studies of Depression Short Form. Sarcopenia was defined according to the Asian Sarcopenia Working Group criteria (AWGS 2019). Changes in depressive symptoms in Wave 1 and Wave 2 were used as exposure, and sarcopenia in Wave 3 was used as outcome. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to test the relationship between changes in depressive symptoms and sarcopenia. RESULTS: In cross-sectional analysis, depression was significantly associated with sarcopenia (odds ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.10-1.48). In subsequent longitudinal analyses, a total of 174 sarcopenia events occurred, and those with increased depressive symptoms and persistent depressive symptoms were at higher risk for sarcopenia than those without depressive symptoms, with multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios of 1.65 (95% CI, 1.00-2.73) and 1.68 (95% CI, 1.06-2.68), respectively. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: People with increased depressive symptoms and persistent depressive symptoms may have a higher risk of developing sarcopenia over time. In the future, more research is needed to confirm the mechanism by which long-term changes in depression contribute to the risk of sarcopenia, and to propose preventive measures accordingly.


Asunto(s)
Sarcopenia , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Sarcopenia/epidemiología , Depresión/epidemiología , Estudios Longitudinales , Estudios Transversales , China/epidemiología
7.
Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis ; 33(6): 1121-1128, 2023 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37088649

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Nowadays, the relationship between triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and chronic kidney disease (CKD) is still controversial. We aimed to prospectively investigate the relationship between TyG index and CKD in a cohort and meta-analysis. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 10498 participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) were included. Participants were divided into four groups based on the quartiles of the TyG index. CKD was based on self-reported physicians' diagnosis or personal eGFR level. A cox regression model was established to analyze the correlation between TyG index and CKD. A meta-analysis was conducted to incorporate the results of the current study and previous studies on the association of TyG index with CKD. In multivariable-adjusted analyses, the adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for the highest versus lowest quartile of TyG index was 1.30 (1.08-1.57). Each 1-SD higher TyG index was associated with an increased risk of 11% (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.03-1.19). The meta-analysis further confirmed the significant associations between TyG and CKD and pooled relative risk for highest vs lowest TyG index quartile was 1.47 (1.32-1.63). CONCLUSIONS: Higher TyG index was associated with increased risk of CKD, independently of established risk factors. The TyG index may be a predictor of incident CKD.


Asunto(s)
Glucosa , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Longitudinales , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Triglicéridos , Glucemia , Biomarcadores
8.
J Diabetes Complications ; 37(1): 108360, 2023 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36459863

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The association between remnant cholesterol (RC) and diabetes remains unclear in Chinese. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used the data of 9464 Chinese adults aged ≥45 years from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Estimated RC level was calculated as total cholesterol minus high-density lipoprotein cholesterol minus low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Cox proportional hazard models and restricted cubic spline models were used to assess the relationships between RC and diabetes. RESULTS: After 6 years of follow-up, a total of 777 respondents experienced new-onset diabetes. In multivariable-adjusted analyses, the adjusted hazard ratios (95 % confidence intervals) for the highest versus lowest quartile of RC was 1.45 (1.19-1.75) for risk of diabetes, and each 1-SD increase of RC (19.52 mg/dl) was associated with 9 % (HRs = 1.09; 1.03-1.15) increased risk of diabetes. There were also significant linear associations between RC level and diabetes (P for linearity <0.001). CONCLUSION: Elevated RC levels were positively associated with increased risk of diabetes in Chinese adult population, suggesting that RC could be considered as a preferential predictor and treatment target of diabetes in Chinese population. Future prospective studies are needed to verify our findings and to assess the effect of RC-lowering interventions in diabetes prevention.


Asunto(s)
Diabetes Mellitus , Pueblos del Este de Asia , Adulto , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Estudios de Cohortes , Factores de Riesgo , Colesterol , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , China/epidemiología
9.
J Psychosom Res ; 164: 111082, 2023 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36379076

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Previous studies have reported that depression and depressive symptom are associated with diabetes incident. However, the association between long-term depressive symptom patterns and risk of diabetes remains unknown. The aim of present study was to evaluate the association between depressive symptom trajectories and risk of diabetes. METHODS: We used data of 8806 participants (≥45 years old) from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Trajectories of depressive symptom were identified by latent mixture modeling. Multivariable logistic regression model was used to examine the association of depressive symptom trajectories with diabetes. RESULTS: Five depressive symptom trajectories were identified, characterizing by maintaining a low CES-D scores throughout the follow-up (low-stable; 3227 participants [36.65%]); maintaining a moderate CES-D scores throughout the follow-up (moderate-stable; 3402 participants [38.63%]); moderate starting CES-D scores then increasing scores (moderate-increasing; 681 participants [7.73%%]); high starting CES-D scores but then decreasing scores (high-decreasing; 1061 participants [12.05%]); and maintained high CES-D scores throughout the follow-up (high-stable; 435 participants [4.94%]). During 2015 to 2018 (Wave 3 to Wave 4), a total of 312 respondents experienced diabetes. Compared with participants in the low-stable depressive symptom trajectory, those following a high-decreasing (ORs = 2.04; 95%CIs 1.48-2.98) and high-stable depressive symptom trajectories (ORs = 3.26; 95%CIs 2.06-5.16) were at substantially higher risk of developing diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with high-decreasing and high-stable depressive symptom trajectories over time were associated with increased risk of incident diabetes. Long-term depressive symptom may be a strong predictor of having diabetes.


Asunto(s)
Depresión , Diabetes Mellitus , Persona de Mediana Edad , Humanos , Anciano , Estudios Longitudinales , Depresión/diagnóstico , Depresión/epidemiología , Jubilación , Pueblos del Este de Asia , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , China/epidemiología
10.
BMC Geriatr ; 22(1): 968, 2022 12 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36517754

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Previous studies had reported that insulin resistance (assessed by estimated glucose disposal rate; eGDR) was associated with higher risk of cardiovascular events (CVD) in diabetes patients. The aim of present study was to investigate the potential association between eGDR and CVD in general population. METHODS: The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study with 8,267 individuals were included in analysis. Participants were divided into four subgroups according to eGDR quartile. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the associations of eGDR with CVD (stroke or cardiac events). RESULTS: During 6 years of follow-up, a total of 1,476 respondents experienced a CVD (494 stroke and 1,110 cardiac events). In multivariable-adjusted analyses, the corresponding hazard ratio (95% confidence intervals) for the highest eGDR versus lowest quartile of eGDR was 0.58(0.49-0.67) for CVD. Each 1-SD increase of eGDR was associated with 16% (HRs = 0.84; 0.79-0.88) decreased risk of CVD. There was also a significant linear association between eGDR and CVD (P for linearity < 0.001). Similar associations were also found between eGDR and stroke and cardiac events. CONCLUSION: A higher eGDR (a measure of insulin resistance) was associated with a decreased risk of CVD, stroke and cardiac events in general Chinese population, suggesting that eGDR could be considered as a preferential predictor and treatment target of CVD. Future well-designed prospective clinical studies are needed to verify our findings and to assess the effect of eGDR interventions in CVD prevention and therapy.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1 , Resistencia a la Insulina , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Glucosa , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Glucemia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios Longitudinales , Jubilación , China/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo
11.
J Hypertens ; 40(11): 2292-2298, 2022 11 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35950988

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Previous studies had reported the significant association between hypertension, remnant cholesterol (RC) and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). The aim of present study was to evaluate the combined effect of hypertension and RC on the risk of CVD. METHODS: A total of 9456 participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were included. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to explore the associations between hypertension, RC and new-onset CVD, stroke and cardiac events. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, 1702 CVD events (including 563 stroke and 1282 cardiac events) were recorded. Compared to those without hypertension and low RC level, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 1.09 (0.95-1.24) for individuals with high RC alone, 1.27 (1.10-1.46) for individuals with hypertension alone and 1.32 (1.15-1.51) for individuals with comorbid hypertension and high RC. Individuals with co-existence of hypertension and high RC also had the highest risks of stroke and cardiac events. CONCLUSION: Our study indicated that there was a combined effect of hypertension and RC on the risk of CVD, stroke and cardiac events. Larger-sample prospective cohort studies are still required to test the potential application of combination of hypertension and RC as a screening method to identify individuals at risk of CVD.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Hipertensión , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , China/epidemiología , Colesterol , Humanos , Hipertensión/complicaciones , Hipertensión/diagnóstico , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Estudios Longitudinales , Estudios Prospectivos , Jubilación , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología
12.
Front Cardiovasc Med ; 9: 940168, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35990944

RESUMEN

Background: The association between hypertriglyceridemic-waist (HTGW) phenotype and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains inconsistent and debatable. We aimed to prospectively investigate the relationship between HTGW phenotype and CVD. Methods and results: We included 8,216 participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Participants were categorized into four subgroups: NTNW: normal triglyceride levels and normal waist circumference; HTNW: high triglyceride levels and normal waist circumference; NTGW: normal triglyceride levels with enlarged waist circumference; HTGW: high triglyceride levels and enlarged waist circumference. A Cox proportional hazards model was applied to determine the association between HTGW phenotype and CVD. A meta-analysis was conducted to incorporate the results of the current study and the previous-related studies on the association of HTGW phenotype and CVD. In the present cohort study, compared to the NTNW phenotype, those with NTGW (Hazard ratios (HRs) 1.34, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) 1.16-1.55) and HTGW (HRs 1.37, 95% CIs 1.16-1.62) phenotype were significantly associated with CVD risk. The meta-analysis further confirmed the significant association between HTGW phenotype and CVD [the pooled relative risk for HTGW vs. NTNW was 1.39 (1.29-1.49)]. Conclusion: The HTGW phenotype was associated with the increased risk of CVD, independently of established risk factors. A simple assessment of HTGW phenotypes might help to identify individuals with a high risk of developing CVD.

13.
Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis ; 32(6): 1437-1444, 2022 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35422360

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The association between visceral adiposity index (VAI) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains debatable. We aimed to prospectively investigate the relationship between VAI and CKD. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 8808 participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were included. Males and females were divided into four groups according to gender-specific quartiles of VAI scores. CKD was based on self-reported physicians' diagnosis or personal eGFR level. A logistic regression model was established to analyze the correlation between VAI and CKD. A meta-analysis was conducted to incorporate the results of the current study and previous studies on the association of VAI with CKD. During 7 years of follow-up, a total of 826 participants (9.38%) experienced CKD. In multivariable-adjusted analyses, the adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for the highest versus lowest quartile of VAI was 1.33 (1.03-1.77) for male, and 1.10 (0.81-1.48) for female, respectively. The meta-analysis found the significant associations between VAI and CKD in total, male and female participants (pooled relative risk for highest vs lowest VAI quartile were 2.24(1.70-2.95), 2.36(1.54-3.61) and 2.57 (1.57-4.22), respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Higher VAI score was associated with increased risk of CKD, independently of established risk factors. The VAI may be a predictor of incident CKD, but only among male participants based on present study.


Asunto(s)
Adiposidad , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Índice de Masa Corporal , China/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Grasa Intraabdominal , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Obesidad Abdominal/complicaciones , Obesidad Abdominal/diagnóstico , Obesidad Abdominal/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/complicaciones , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiología , Jubilación , Factores de Riesgo
14.
J Psychiatr Res ; 145: 137-143, 2021 Dec 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34922097

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have reported that depression is associated with higher risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the association between long-term depressive symptom patterns and the risk of CVD was not well characterized. METHODS: A total of 8621 participants with three Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (CES-D) measurements from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were included. Trajectories of depressive symptoms were identified by latent mixture modeling. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the association of depressive symptom trajectories with CVD (stroke or cardiac events), and accounting for mortality as a competing risk for CVD. RESULTS: We identified four distinct depressive symptoms trajectories, characterized by maintaining low CES-D score throughout the follow-up (no depressive symptoms; 5642 participants [65.44%]); high starting CES-D scores but then decreasing scores (decreasing depressive symptoms; 1329 participants [14.91%]); low starting CES-D scores then increasing scores (increasing depressive symptoms; 1154 participants [13.39%]) and maintained high CES-D scores throughout the follow-up (persistent depressive symptoms; 496 participants [6.26%]). During the follow-up period, 853 CVD events (including 362 strokes and 535 cardiac events) were recorded. Compared to participants in the no depressive symptom trajectory, those in the increasing depressive symptoms and persistent depressive symptom trajectories had an increased risk of CVD, with multiple-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.53 (1.28-1.82) and 1.68 (1.34-2.12), respectively. Individuals with increasing and persistent depressive symptoms trajectories also had higher risks of stroke and cardiac events. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with increasing and persistent depressive symptom over time were associated with increased risk of incident CVD.

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